Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.031629 0.036713 0.042356 0.049086 0.056894 0.065672 0.076296
2025-12-14 0.022864 0.029289 0.037149 0.047478 0.060709 0.077108 0.099018
2025-12-21 0.017747 0.024512 0.033427 0.046048 0.063487 0.086783 0.120364
2025-12-28 0.015066 0.022136 0.032038 0.046942 0.068860 0.100004 0.147802
2026-01-04 0.012929 0.020034 0.030522 0.047162 0.072986 0.111686 0.174390
2026-01-11 0.011259 0.018291 0.029168 0.047255 0.076702 0.122977 0.201673
2026-01-18 0.010048 0.017042 0.028329 0.047919 0.081236 0.135910 0.233092
2026-01-25 0.009160 0.016166 0.027925 0.049158 0.086761 0.150991 0.269934
2026-02-01 0.007957 0.014569 0.026079 0.047641 0.087284 0.157565 0.292764
2026-02-08 0.007124 0.013504 0.024999 0.047291 0.089755 0.167731 0.323231
2026-02-15 0.006395 0.012528 0.023940 0.046811 0.091865 0.177398 0.353895
2026-02-22 0.005921 0.011969 0.023578 0.047585 0.096418 0.192128 0.396194
2026-03-01 0.005337 0.011129 0.022593 0.047049 0.098404 0.202291 0.431102
2026-03-08 0.004746 0.010198 0.021315 0.045757 0.098687 0.209088 0.460026
2026-03-15 0.004228 0.009351 0.020101 0.044429 0.098701 0.215291 0.488465
2026-03-22 0.003964 0.009018 0.019920 0.045302 0.103587 0.232454 0.543474
2026-03-29 0.003674 0.008586 0.019472 0.045516 0.107013 0.246804 0.593976
2026-04-05 0.003404 0.008167 0.018999 0.045606 0.110151 0.260866 0.645683
2026-04-12 0.003199 0.007873 0.018775 0.046246 0.114667 0.278666 0.708868
2026-04-19 0.003047 0.007688 0.018780 0.047442 0.120682 0.300777 0.785831
2026-04-26 0.002751 0.007107 0.017767 0.045978 0.119860 0.306029 0.820283
2026-05-03 0.002547 0.006735 0.017223 0.045641 0.121878 0.318654 0.875880
2026-05-10 0.002355 0.006372 0.016660 0.045178 0.123506 0.330467 0.930918